Ravensburger Spectrum - The South-West Journal. . .
. . . ... that doesn't let grass grow over the scandals, but mows it so that you are properly informed!
RaSp: Some fear - seeing black - the participation of the "communists" in the next federal government, others warn with many red lights that the AfD is gaining strength. Others, on the other hand, see the Greens as a "conspiracy party", while there are also those who venerate Annalena Baerbock as her savior. And the novelty in post-war Germany that the future Chancellor Party could become this with only 22.5 percent of the vote.
And who is that owed? I think it is the CDU's decline in the polls. That in turn is due to their chancellor candidate Armin Laschet. If the "Christian" had chosen Markus Söder as candidate for chancellor in the spring, they would now have around 28 percent of the vote. Scholz, who owes his current 25 percent solely to the decline of the CDU and not to his great program, would have been 22 percent, and the AfD would have slipped below the ten percent mark. The reality is different. See report below.
So when, this week or even today, does the CDU throw its bait, Markus Söder, into the hotly contested voter pool to turn the tide? The term "bait", which otherwise has a rather negative connotation, is not necessarily meant here in an evil or derogatory way. Even though the CSU man would bind many - otherwise - AfD voters to himself, whether he wanted it or not. That alone would be "good". And the contrast to the "red socks" would be a bit more visible again, the election campaign more snappy, the TV series that are still to come more exciting. The real profile difference (instead of profiling) between $ PD and CDU would become more visible. And in order to be able to shine, Annalena Baerbock would have to come out of the reserve a lot more.
In general, it is very surprising that Angela Merkel and the CDU grandees are watching this tragedy (apparently motionless) - have to say, I have to say. Because I am sure that something will happen in the coming days.
t-online: --- Three weeks before the federal election, the SPD and Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz expanded their lead over the Union in an Insa survey. The Social Democrats gain in the "Sunday trend" for "Bild am Sonntag" one percentage point compared to the previous week and are now at 25 percent. The CDU and CSU with their candidate for Chancellor Armin Laschet together come to 20 percent, one point less than a week ago - and, according to the newspaper, an all-time low.
In third place, the Greens of Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock lost one point and are now at 16 percent - followed by the FDP, which remains unchanged at 13 percent. According to the pollsters from the Insa Institute, the AfD with 12 percent and the Left with 7 percent can each gain one point. The other parties together come to 7 percent (minus 1).
Several surveys by other opinion research institutes had recently seen the SPD on the rise - and in some cases well ahead of the CDU / CSU. The ZDF "Politbarometer" published on Friday by the Elections Research Group also sees the Social Democrats at 25 percent, while the Union is at 22 percent.
Election polls are generally always fraught with uncertainty. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the outcome of the election.